Derry CityvsAthlone Town

Derry City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Athlone Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Derry City hold a 30.3-point power-rating edge (89.7 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the FAI Cup, while Derry City holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.