Deriovs
Sestao River
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 8/29/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sestao River · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Derio 0-1 Sestao River
Original prediction
Sestao River
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.60 | 25.2% | 28.9% | 3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.1% | 26.5% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 1.94 | 46.7% | 44.5% | -2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Sestao River
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Sestao River has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/3.00
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00