Friendlies Clubs
Derio
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Athletic Club
AwayFriendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.
Momentum trend
last 5 matchesDerioAthletic ClubProbability breakdown
Derio leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
Derio head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (L), while Athletic Club arrive in mixed form (W). Derio have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Athletic Club over 1 games.
Tactically, Athletic Club hold the edge. Their elite attack (94/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Derio defence (6/100), while Derio's attack faces a watertight Athletic Club backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.
Derio have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per home match. Athletic Club have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.
Athletic Club have generated 0.81 xG per game recently while conceding 1.90 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.
Athletic Club have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game.
The GoalVio engine projects Derio to win with 38% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Derio 3518%, Draw 3500%, Athletic Club 2982%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.
Head to head
Recent form
Derio
Athletic Club
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Derio vs Athletic Club?
GoalVio's model predicts Derio to win with 38% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Derio vs Athletic Club?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.
Will both teams score in Derio vs Athletic Club?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Derio vs Athletic Club?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.