Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portadown · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Dergview are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 2.50 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Portadown are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 7 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Portadown hold a 27.6-point power-rating edge (33.3 v 60.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.4% in the Championship, while Portadown holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Portadown
Probability
68.4%
Model confidence
68.4%
Portadown has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 2.50/3.00
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60