Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deren · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (8%), 4-1 (7%), 3-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deren 3-3 Khovd
Original prediction
Deren
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–18%
- 2.4–17%
- 3.3–27%
Predicted outcome
Deren
Probability
58.3%
Model confidence
58.3%
Deren has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DerenWWW
GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 5.00/1.00
BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
KhovdLWL
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 2.67/4.00
BTTS 1/3O2.5 3/3
DerenKhovd
100.0Attack88.9
66.7Defence0.0
100.0Form33.3
90.0Power35.6
3.92xG1.77