Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deren · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-1 (9%), 5-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deren 5-0 Erchim
Original prediction
Deren
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–19%
- 2.5–19%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Deren
Probability
73.0%
Model confidence
73.0%
Deren has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DerenLDWWW
GF 19 · GA 8 · avg 3.80/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
ErchimLLLWL
GF 8 · GA 19 · avg 1.60/3.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
DerenErchim
100.0Attack50.0
57.1Defence0.0
66.7Form33.3
71.7Power31.0
4.50xG1.35