Derbyvs
Wolves U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 11/8/2023, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Derby · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Derby are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Wolves U21 are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Derby hold a 43.5-point power-rating edge (77.3 v 33.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.1% in the EFL Trophy, while Derby holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Derby
Probability
72.1%
Model confidence
72.1%
Derby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50