GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/17/2025, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Upala · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Deportivo Upala are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Santa Cruz FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Upala hold a 31.5-point power-rating edge (38.5 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Deportivo Upala holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Upala

Probability

45.9%

Model confidence

45.9%

Deportivo Upala has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo UpalaDDLWW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Santa Cruz FCDLLDW

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo UpalaSanta Cruz FC
62.5Attack0.0
22.9Defence0.0
31.3Form0.0
38.5Power7.0
2.32xG1.83
View match centre →