GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 1/26/2025, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Upala · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Deportivo Upala are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Municipal Grecia are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Municipal Grecia hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (38.5 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Deportivo Upala holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 86% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Upala

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

43.1%

Deportivo Upala has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo UpalaDDWDL

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Municipal GreciaWWLLL

GF 9 · GA 16 · avg 1.80/3.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Deportivo UpalaMunicipal Grecia
62.5Attack58.3
22.9Defence28.1
31.3Form42.7
38.5Power44.0
2.85xG2.52
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