GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/23/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Upala · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Deportivo Upala are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Municipal Grecia are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Municipal Grecia hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (38.5 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Deportivo Upala holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 86% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Upala

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

43.1%

Deportivo Upala has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo UpalaDLLLD

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Municipal GreciaLDLDD

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo UpalaMunicipal Grecia
62.5Attack58.3
22.9Defence28.1
31.3Form42.7
38.5Power44.0
2.85xG2.52
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