GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 3/19/2025, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

ADR Jicaral · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Deportivo Upala are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while ADR Jicaral are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and ADR Jicaral hold a 41.8-point power-rating edge (38.5 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.1% in the Liga de Ascenso, while ADR Jicaral holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

ADR Jicaral

Probability

48.1%

Model confidence

48.1%

ADR Jicaral has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo UpalaWWLDD

GF 17 · GA 8 · avg 3.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ADR JicaralDWWLL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo UpalaADR Jicaral
62.5Attack33.3
22.9Defence100.0
31.3Form100.0
38.5Power80.3
1.69xG2.29
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