GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 2/8/2025, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Sarchí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Deportivo Upala are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while AD Sarchí are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 41.8-point power-rating edge (38.5 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.5% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Sarchí holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Sarchí

Probability

50.5%

Model confidence

50.5%

AD Sarchí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo UpalaLLLDD

GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
AD SarchíWWWLL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Deportivo UpalaAD Sarchí
62.5Attack66.7
22.9Defence66.7
31.3Form100.0
38.5Power80.3
1.71xG2.45
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