GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/6/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Sarchí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Deportivo Upala are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while AD Sarchí are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 41.8-point power-rating edge (38.5 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.5% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Sarchí holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Sarchí

Probability

50.5%

Model confidence

50.5%

AD Sarchí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo UpalaLDLWD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AD SarchíDWLLD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Deportivo UpalaAD Sarchí
62.5Attack66.7
22.9Defence66.7
31.3Form100.0
38.5Power80.3
1.71xG2.45
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