Deportivo UpalavsAD Carmelita

Deportivo Upala are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.60 conceded, while AD Carmelita are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Carmelita hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (38.5 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Carmelita holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.