Deportivo UpalavsAD Carmelita

Deportivo Upala are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while AD Carmelita are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Carmelita hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (38.5 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Carmelita holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.