Deportivo Universitariovs
UMECIT
COMPLETEDPanama · Liga Panameña de Fútbol · 9/26/2026, 11:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UMECIT · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Universitario 2-1 UMECIT
Original prediction
UMECIT
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 37.5% | 31.3% | -6.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.90 | 30.8% | 30.3% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.81 | 31.8% | 38.4% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–114%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
UMECIT
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
UMECIT has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00