Panama · Liga Panameña de Fútbol · 10/24/2026, 11:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independiente de La Chorrera · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 0-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Universitario 0-1 Independiente de La Chorrera
Original prediction
Independiente de La Chorrera
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 38.0% | 30.4% | -7.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 28.8% | 28.4% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.70 | 33.1% | 41.2% | 8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.0–114%
Predicted outcome
Independiente de La Chorrera
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Independiente de La Chorrera has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80