Deportivo Tachira FCvs
UCV
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 10/10/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Tachira FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Tachira FC 4-1 UCV
Original prediction
Deportivo Tachira FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 57.4% | 55.0% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.5% | 24.5% | -0.0 pts |
| Away | 5.03 | 18.1% | 20.5% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Tachira FC
Probability
55.0%
Model confidence
55.0%
Deportivo Tachira FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40