GGOALVIO

Venezuela · Primera División · 9/6/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Tachira FC · BTTS No · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-0 (15%), 1-0 (12%), 3-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Deportivo Tachira FC 3-1 Rayo Zuliano

Original prediction

Deportivo Tachira FC

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.2374.1%76.4%2.3 pts
Draw5.2217.4%15.7%-1.7 pts
Away10.688.5%7.9%-0.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

2.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–015%
  2. 2.1–012%
  3. 3.3–012%

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Tachira FC

Probability

76.4%

Model confidence

76.4%

Deportivo Tachira FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo Tachira FCWDLWW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Rayo ZulianoWLWLW

GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Deportivo Tachira FCRayo Zuliano
52.6Attack38.3
67.9Defence35.0
65.4Form33.3
63.9Power37.5
2.37xG0.62
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