GGOALVIO

Venezuela · Primera División · 2/18/2023, 9:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Tachira FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Tachira FC are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (LWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Monagas SC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Tachira FC hold a 21.8-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 43.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.8% in the Primera División, while Deportivo Tachira FC holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Tachira FC

Probability

61.8%

Model confidence

61.8%

Deportivo Tachira FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo Tachira FCLWW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
Monagas SCWDLDL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Deportivo Tachira FCMonagas SC
48.5Attack34.5
72.7Defence51.2
66.7Form35.7
64.8Power43.1
1.62xG0.48
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