Deportivo Tachira FCvs
Monagas SC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Copa Venezuela · 10/21/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monagas SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Tachira FC 1-1 Monagas SC
Original prediction
Monagas SC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 October 2026 at 07:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 57.7% | 34.1% | -23.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.6% | 26.1% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 4.83 | 18.8% | 39.8% | 21.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.85 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
21.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Monagas SC
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Monagas SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40