GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 2/20/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportes Tolima · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Deportivo Tachira FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Deportes Tolima are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportes Tolima hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (24.5 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while Deportes Tolima holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportes Tolima

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

14.5%

Deportes Tolima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo Tachira FCDWLLW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Deportes TolimaWDLDD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo Tachira FCDeportes Tolima
22.2Attack0.0
38.9Defence66.7
0.0Form0.0
24.5Power26.7
0.88xG1.22
View match centre →