Deportivo Tachira FCvs
Caracas FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 8/30/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Tachira FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Tachira FC 1-0 Caracas FC, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Tachira FC 0-0 Caracas FC
Original prediction
Deportivo Tachira FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 62.2% | 62.1% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.03 | 22.6% | 23.0% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 5.96 | 15.3% | 14.9% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.03 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Tachira FC 1–0 Caracas FC
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Tachira FC
Probability
62.1%
Model confidence
62.1%
Deportivo Tachira FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40