Deportivo Saprissavs
Sporting San Jose
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Primera División · 10/16/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Saprissa · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Saprissa 6-0 Sporting San Jose
Original prediction
Deportivo Saprissa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 12:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 50.0% | 40.3% | -9.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.6% | 26.7% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 3.90 | 23.3% | 33.1% | 9.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.82 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Saprissa
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Deportivo Saprissa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00