Deportivo Saprissavs
Escorpiones Belén
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Primera División · 8/31/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Saprissa · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Saprissa 2-1 Escorpiones Belén
Original prediction
Deportivo Saprissa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.22 | 74.5% | 64.8% | -9.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.47 | 16.6% | 20.2% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 10.20 | 8.9% | 15.0% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Saprissa
Probability
64.8%
Model confidence
64.8%
Deportivo Saprissa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60