Deportivo Saprissavs
CS Herediano
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Primera División · 9/20/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Saprissa · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 3-0 (12%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Saprissa 2-0 CS Herediano
Original prediction
Deportivo Saprissa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 52.9% | 70.2% | 17.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.0% | 18.1% | -9.0 pts |
| Away | 4.52 | 20.1% | 11.8% | -8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.3–012%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Saprissa
Probability
70.2%
Model confidence
70.2%
Deportivo Saprissa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60