GGOALVIO

World · CONCACAF Central American Cup · 9/10/2026, 1:06:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Saprissa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Deportivo Saprissa 2-2 CS Cartagines

Original prediction

Deportivo Saprissa

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0344.5%40.5%-3.9 pts
Draw3.0529.6%27.3%-2.3 pts
Away3.4826.0%32.2%6.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.05 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-3.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–08%

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Saprissa

Probability

40.5%

Model confidence

40.5%

Deportivo Saprissa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo SaprissaWWLLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CS CartaginesWWWWW

GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Deportivo SaprissaCS Cartagines
66.7Attack66.7
66.7Defence83.3
75.0Form66.7
70.5Power70.9
1.45xG1.30
View match centre →