Deportivo Santanivs
Independiente F.b.c.
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 9/9/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Santani · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Santani 1-2 Independiente F.b.c.
Original prediction
Deportivo Santani
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 46.8% | 59.0% | 12.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 27.8% | 22.9% | -4.9 pts |
| Away | 3.52 | 25.4% | 18.1% | -7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–012%
- 2.2–012%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Santani
Probability
59.0%
Model confidence
59.0%
Deportivo Santani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20