GGOALVIO

Paraguay · Division Intermedia · 10/6/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Santani · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Deportivo Santani 1-0 Guairena FC, with an exact score probability of 18%.

Prediction record

Final result

Deportivo Santani 1-0 Guairena FC

Original prediction

Deportivo Santani

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5955.8%53.4%-2.5 pts
Draw3.4725.6%26.4%0.7 pts
Away4.8018.5%20.3%1.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-2.5 pts

Projected Score

Deportivo Santani 1–0 Guairena FC

Exact score probability: 18%

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Santani

Probability

53.4%

Model confidence

53.4%

Deportivo Santani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo SantaniWWWLW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Guairena FCLLDLL

GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Deportivo SantaniGuairena FC
57.7Attack28.2
67.9Defence55.1
65.4Form32.1
64.1Power40.7
1.78xG0.46
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