Deportivo Santanivs
Guairena FC
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 10/6/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Santani · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Santani 1-0 Guairena FC, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Santani 1-0 Guairena FC
Original prediction
Deportivo Santani
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 55.8% | 53.4% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 25.6% | 26.4% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 4.80 | 18.5% | 20.3% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.5 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Santani 1–0 Guairena FC
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Santani
Probability
53.4%
Model confidence
53.4%
Deportivo Santani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40