Deportivo Santanivs
Deportivo Recoleta
COMPLETEDParaguay · Copa Paraguay · 8/26/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Recoleta · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Santani 0-2 Deportivo Recoleta
Original prediction
Deportivo Recoleta
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.77 | 32.6% | 33.2% | 0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.5% | 27.4% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.26 | 39.9% | 39.4% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Recoleta
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Deportivo Recoleta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60