GGOALVIO

Guatemala · Liga Nacional · 9/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo San Pedro · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Deportivo San Pedro 2-0 Mixco

Original prediction

Deportivo San Pedro

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9945.7%45.5%-0.3 pts
Draw3.2028.4%27.9%-0.5 pts
Away3.5125.9%26.6%0.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.99 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-0.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.2–010%

Predicted outcome

Deportivo San Pedro

Probability

45.5%

Model confidence

45.5%

Deportivo San Pedro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo San PedroDWLWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MixcoDLWWW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Deportivo San PedroMixco
50.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence0.0
50.0Form0.0
54.2Power15.3
1.65xG0.94
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