Deportivo San Pedrovs
Malacateco
COMPLETEDGuatemala · Liga Nacional · 10/25/2026, 9:10:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo San Pedro · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo San Pedro 1-0 Malacateco, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo San Pedro 2-2 Malacateco
Original prediction
Deportivo San Pedro
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 51.7% | 51.0% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.5% | 27.3% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 4.36 | 20.8% | 21.6% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.30 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.6 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo San Pedro 1–0 Malacateco
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo San Pedro
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
51.0%
Deportivo San Pedro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00