GGOALVIO

Guatemala · Liga Nacional · 10/11/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo San Pedro · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Deportivo San Pedro 2-1 Comunicaciones

Original prediction

Deportivo San Pedro

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0145.4%45.2%-0.2 pts
Draw3.1129.3%28.1%-1.2 pts
Away3.5925.4%26.7%1.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-0.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–014%
  3. 3.1–014%

Predicted outcome

Deportivo San Pedro

Probability

45.2%

Model confidence

45.2%

Deportivo San Pedro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo San PedroLLDDW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
ComunicacionesWWLDL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Deportivo San PedroComunicaciones
39.4Attack44.4
63.6Defence52.8
45.5Form41.7
50.9Power47.9
1.21xG0.88
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