GGOALVIO

Guatemala · Liga Nacional · 9/20/2026, 8:50:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo San Pedro · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Deportivo San Pedro 1-1 Cobán Imperial

Original prediction

Deportivo San Pedro

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8648.7%46.0%-2.8 pts
Draw3.1528.7%28.4%-0.3 pts
Away4.0022.6%25.7%3.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.15 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-2.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–014%
  3. 3.0–012%

Predicted outcome

Deportivo San Pedro

Probability

46.0%

Model confidence

46.0%

Deportivo San Pedro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo San PedroDWDWL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Cobán ImperialDDLLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Deportivo San PedroCobán Imperial
33.3Attack33.3
77.8Defence44.4
44.4Form11.1
51.4Power32.9
1.38xG0.84
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