Deportivo San Pedrovs
Antigua GFC
COMPLETEDGuatemala · Liga Nacional · 8/30/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Antigua GFC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo San Pedro 4-3 Antigua GFC
Original prediction
Antigua GFC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.68 | 33.9% | 32.8% | -1.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.83 | 32.1% | 29.5% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.67 | 34.0% | 37.7% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Antigua GFC
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Antigua GFC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.67/1.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00