Deportivo Rinconvs
Santamarina
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Rincon · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Rincon 0-0 Santamarina, with an exact score probability of 32%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Rincon 3-0 Santamarina
Original prediction
Deportivo Rincon
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.30 | 69.3% | 53.8% | -15.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.02 | 22.4% | 32.5% | 10.1 pts |
| Away | 10.76 | 8.4% | 13.7% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.5 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Rincon 0–0 Santamarina
Exact score probability: 32%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Rincon
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
53.8%
Deportivo Rincon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20