Deportivo Rinconvs
Costa Brava
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 9/6/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Rincon 0-0 Costa Brava, with an exact score probability of 39%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Rincon 1-1 Costa Brava
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.89 | 47.6% | 36.9% | -10.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.86 | 31.4% | 39.3% | 7.9 pts |
| Away | 4.29 | 21.0% | 23.8% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.86 · Draw 1.86 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.9 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Rincon 0–0 Costa Brava
Exact score probability: 39%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Deportivo RinconDWLDW
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Costa BravaLWWDD
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo RinconCosta Brava
30.3Attack27.3
71.2Defence72.7
45.5Form40.9
51.2Power49.0
0.54xG0.43