GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 5/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Rincon are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Costa Brava are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Rincon hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 46.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.3% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.6%

Model confidence

35.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo RinconDWLLD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Costa BravaLDLDD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo RinconCosta Brava
33.3Attack26.3
68.4Defence71.9
45.6Form36.8
51.2Power46.9
0.62xG0.45
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