Deportivo Riestravs
Velez Sarsfield
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 8/29/2026, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Riestra 0-0 Velez Sarsfield, with an exact score probability of 39%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Riestra 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.81 | 33.4% | 23.6% | -9.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.70 | 34.7% | 39.7% | 5.0 pts |
| Away | 2.94 | 31.9% | 36.8% | 4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.70 · Draw 1.70 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.0 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Riestra 0–0 Velez Sarsfield
Exact score probability: 39%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00