GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 8/29/2026, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Riestra are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Velez Sarsfield are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Velez Sarsfield hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (42.2 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 13% BTTS chance and 6% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

50.6%

Model confidence

42.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo RiestraLWLLW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Velez SarsfieldDWWWL

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo RiestraVelez Sarsfield
18.3Attack38.1
75.0Defence76.2
28.3Form60.3
42.2Power61.0
0.33xG0.56
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