Deportivo Riestravs
Velez Sarsfield
SCHEDULEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 8/29/2026, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Deportivo Riestra are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Velez Sarsfield are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Velez Sarsfield hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (42.2 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 13% BTTS chance and 6% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
50.6%
Model confidence
42.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60