Deportivo Riestravs
Union Santa Fe
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 10/20/2026, 12:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Riestra 0-0 Union Santa Fe, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Riestra 1-1 Union Santa Fe
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 43.0% | 33.9% | -9.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.92 | 32.1% | 33.1% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.76 | 24.9% | 33.0% | 8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.92 · Draw 1.92 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Riestra 0–0 Union Santa Fe
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.1%
Model confidence
33.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20