GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Riestra are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Palestino are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Palestino hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (34.7 v 39.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.3%

Model confidence

42.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo RiestraLDLDD

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
PalestinoLLWWW

GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Deportivo RiestraPalestino
22.2Attack14.3
44.4Defence66.7
27.8Form28.6
34.7Power39.6
0.75xG0.86
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