GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 2/16/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Riestra are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Newells Old Boys are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Riestra hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (42.2 v 39.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 30.6% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

30.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo RiestraLWDLL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Newells Old BoysLLDLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo RiestraNewells Old Boys
18.3Attack31.7
75.0Defence46.7
28.3Form31.7
42.2Power39.1
0.78xG0.43
View match centre →