Deportivo Riestravs
Lanus
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 9/14/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Riestra 0-0 Lanus, with an exact score probability of 38%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Riestra 0-3 Lanus
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.12 | 29.9% | 30.8% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.67 | 34.9% | 36.0% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.66 | 35.1% | 33.2% | -2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Riestra 0–0 Lanus
Exact score probability: 38%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.0%
Model confidence
36.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Deportivo RiestraDDDDD
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 0/5
LanusWLDLW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo RiestraLanus
18.1Attack34.7
73.6Defence66.7
27.8Form45.3
41.6Power50.2
0.47xG0.52