GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 3/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Riestra are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Gimnasia M. are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia M. hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (42.2 v 45.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.5% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 15% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

54.5%

Model confidence

54.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo RiestraDDDDL

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Gimnasia M.DDLLW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo RiestraGimnasia M.
18.3Attack28.3
75.0Defence60.0
28.3Form41.7
42.2Power45.7
0.58xG0.40
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