Deportivo Riestravs
Banfield
COMPLETEDArgentina · Copa Argentina · 9/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Riestra · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Riestra 1-1 Banfield
Original prediction
Deportivo Riestra
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 41.7% | 36.8% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.82 | 32.9% | 30.3% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 3.65 | 25.4% | 32.9% | 7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.82 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Riestra
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Deportivo Riestra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00