Argentina · Reserve League · 10/7/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Riestra Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Riestra Res. 3-1 Independiente Riva. Res.
Original prediction
Deportivo Riestra Res.
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.43 | 62.6% | 49.5% | -13.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.2% | 27.6% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 6.31 | 14.2% | 23.0% | 8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Riestra Res.
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Deportivo Riestra Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20