Argentina · Reserve League · 8/27/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Riestra Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Riestra Res. 3-3 Defensa y Justicia Res.
Original prediction
Deportivo Riestra Res.
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.46 | 36.4% | 38.1% | 1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.3% | 28.8% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.60 | 34.4% | 33.1% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.06 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Riestra Res.
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Deportivo Riestra Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60