GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 9/24/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Riestra Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Deportivo Riestra Res. 1-0 Barracas Central Res., with an exact score probability of 20%.

Prediction record

Final result

Deportivo Riestra Res. 3-0 Barracas Central Res.

Original prediction

Deportivo Riestra Res.

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9246.4%47.4%1.1 pts
Draw3.0029.7%28.8%-0.8 pts
Away3.7223.9%23.7%-0.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.92 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.1 pts

Projected Score

Deportivo Riestra Res. 1–0 Barracas Central Res.

Exact score probability: 20%

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Riestra Res.

Probability

47.4%

Model confidence

47.4%

Deportivo Riestra Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo Riestra Res.LWWDL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Barracas Central Res.WLLDL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Deportivo Riestra Res.Barracas Central Res.
49.4Attack23.5
65.4Defence50.6
48.1Form28.4
54.6Power37.1
1.65xG0.44
View match centre →