Deportivo Recoletavs
Sportivo Trinidense
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 9/12/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sportivo Trinidense · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Recoleta 1-3 Sportivo Trinidense
Original prediction
Sportivo Trinidense
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.52 | 26.0% | 16.4% | -9.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.2% | 20.2% | -7.0 pts |
| Away | 1.96 | 46.8% | 63.4% | 16.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.96 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Sportivo Trinidense
Probability
63.4%
Model confidence
63.4%
Sportivo Trinidense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00