Deportivo Recoletavs
Santos
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/6/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santos · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Deportivo Recoleta are 0W-5D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Santos are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Santos hold a 16.0-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 63.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Santos holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Santos
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
47.7%
Santos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40